نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 دکتری مدیریت ورزشی، دانشگاه تبریز
2 دانشیار مدیریت ورزشی، دانشگاه تبریز
3 دانشیار علوم اقتصاد، دانشگاه تبریز
چکیده
اقتصاد ایران همیشه از نوسانات نرخ ارز متأثر بوده است. این پژوهش به تبیین ارتباط بین اثرهای نرخ ارز بر شاخص قیمت کالاهای ورزشی طی دورة زمانی سال‌های 1393- 1371 پرداخت. پژوهش حاضر، به‌لحاظ هدف نظری و کاربردی بود و به‌لحاظ روش پژوهش، ازنوع تحلیلی- توصیفی بود. روش جمع‌آوری آمار و اطلاعات در این مطالعه به‌صورت اسنادی و کتابخانه‌ای بود. متغیر شاخص قیمت واردات کالاهای ورزشی به‌همراه متغیرهای توضیحی تولید ناخالص داخلی، شاخص قیمت مصرف‌کننده، بازبودن تجاری و هزینة نهایی شرکای تجاری و نرخ ارز اسمی وارد مدل شدند. آمار مربوط به متغیرهای توضیحی پژوهش از سایت بانک مرکزی جمهوری‌اسلامی‌ایران، صندوق بین‌المللی پول و گمرگ جمهوری‌اسلامی‌ایران گردآوری شد. برای تحلیل داده‌ها از نرم‌افزار ایویوز نُه استفاده شد. یافته‌هایپژوهش نشان داد که رابطة مثبت و معناداری بین نرخ ارز و شاخص قیمت واردات کالاهای ورزشی در ایران وجود دارد؛ اما درطی دورة موردبررسی، میزان انتقال اثر نرخ ارز به قیمت وارداتی کالاهای ورزشی ناقص و 76/0 است. متغیر هزینة نهایی شرکای تجاری و درجة بازبودن تجاری اثر مثبت و معناداری بر قیمت واردات کالاهای ورزشی دارند؛ اما اثر شاخص قیمت مصرف‌کننده معنادار نیست؛ بنابراین، افزایش حجم تجارت کالاهای ورزشی در آثار انتقالی تغییرات نرخ ارز به قیمت واردات کالاهای ورزشی کمک می‌کند.
کلیدواژه‌ها
عنوان مقاله [English]
Exchange Rate Pass-Through on Import Price Index of Iran Sports Goods: ARDL Pattern Approach
نویسندگان [English]
- Roghayeh Sarlab 1
- Fariba Askariyan 2
- Hossein Asghar Pour 3
1 Ph.D. of Sport Management, University of Tabriz
2 Assistant Professor of Sport Management, University of Tabriz
3 Assistant Professor of Economic Science, University of Tabriz
چکیده [English]
Iran's economy has always been affected by exchange rate fluctuations, and this study has been designed to explain the relationship between exchange rate effects on the price index of sports goods the period of 1993-2015. The purpose and terms of theoretical and applied research method is analytical - descriptive. The collection of statistics in this study is documentary and library. Variable of index of prices of imports of sporting goods, along with the independent variables of gross domestic product, consumer price index, trade openness and final cost of business partners and nominal exchange rate, were introduced into the model. Statistics related to the explanatory variables Research were collected from the Central Bank of Iran, the International Monetary Fund and the Islamic Republic of Iran. For data analysis Was used the Eviews9 software .The empirical findings of the research showed that there is a positive and significant relationship between the exchange rate and the price index of imports of sporting goods in Iran. However, during the period under review, the rate of exchange rate effect on imports of sports goods was defective (0.76). The variable of final cost of the business partners and the degree of openness of the trade have a positive effect and significant on the price of imports of sporting goods, but the effect of the consumer price index is not significant. Therefore, increasing the volume of trade in goods in the transitional effects of exchange rate changes on import prices will help sporting goods.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
- Exchange Rate Pass-Through
- Sport Goods
- Import Price Index
- Sports Industry
- Policy making
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