نوع مقاله : مقاله پژوهشی
نویسندگان
1 استاد اقتصاد، دانشگاه تهران
2 دانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد، دانشگاه پیام‌نور تهران
چکیده
هدف این پژوهش، بررسی اثر مالیات‌ها و مخارج ورزشی دولتی بر ارزش افزودة بخش ورزش طی سال‌های 1355 تا 1392 بود. برای آزمون رابطة بلندمدت میان متغیرها، از روش هم‌انباشتگی جوهانسن و جوسیلیوس و برای تخمین الگو، از رویکرد مدل خودتوزیع با وقفه‌های گسترده (ای.آر.دی.ال) استفاده شده است. نتایج پژوهش بیانگر وجود رابطة تعادلی بلندمدت میان متغیرها بود. یافته‌ها نشان داد که مخارج ورزشی دولتی و تولید ناخالص داخلی، اثر مثبت و معنا‌داری بر ارزش افزودة بخش ورزش داشته‌اند. همچنین، افزایش درآمدهای نفتی نسبت به درآمدهای مالیاتی نقش با اهمیت‌تری در ارزش افزودة بخش ورزش داشته‌اند. به‌عبارت‌دیگر، درآمدهای نفتی بیشتر از درآمدهای مالیاتی درخدمت ورزش بوده‌اند و این آسیب سیاست‌گذاری باید در فرایندهای بودجه‌ریزی و برنامه‌ریزی‌های دولت موردتوجه قرار گیرد. به‌علاوه، مخارج ورزشی دولت مهم‌‌ترین عامل تحولات بخش ورزش در ایران بوده‌اند. این وابستگی و اتکای بالای ارزش افزودة بخش ورزش به مخارج دولتی باید دغدغة سیاست‌گذاران در این حوزه باشد.
کلیدواژه‌ها
موضوعات
عنوان مقاله [English]
Investigating the Effect Revenues and Government Sport Expenditure on the Added Value of the Sports Sector: The Approach of Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model
نویسندگان [English]
- Mohsen Mehr Ara 1
- Seyedeh Vajihe Mikaeeli 2
1 Professor of Economics, University of Tehran
2 Ph.D. Student of Economics, Payame Noor University, Tehran
چکیده [English]
The purpose of this research is to investigate the effect of governmental sports revenues and expenditures on the added value of the sports sector from 1976 to 2013. In order to test the long run relationship between the variables, the method of Johanson cointegration, and in order to estimate the model, the approach of autoregressive distributed lag model (ARDL) have been used. The results show a long run equilibrium relationship between the variables. Findings show that government sports expenditure and GDP have had a positive and significant effect on the added value of sports sector. Moreover, increased oil revenues had a more significant effect on the added value of sports sector than increased tax revenues had. In other words, oil revenues served sports more than tax revenues did. This policy making deficiency has to be addressed in government’s budgeting and programming. Furthermore, government’s sports expenditures have been the main source of changes in sports sector in Iran. This dependence and heavy reliance of sports sector’s added value on government expenditure has to be the concern of policy makers in this field.
کلیدواژه‌ها [English]
- Oil Revenues
- Taxes
- Government Expenditure
- Sports Sector’s Added Value
- ARDL
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