Sport Management Studies

Structural Analysis of Key Factors Affecting the Future Status of Elderly Exercise in Iran

Document Type : Research Paper

Authors

1 Ph.D. Student in Strategic Sports Management, Islamic Azad University, North Tehran Branch

2 Assistant Profssor of Sport Management,Tehran north Branch, Islamic Azad University, Tehran, Iran

3 Assistant Professor, Department of Sociology, Azad University, North Tehran Branch, Tehran, Iran

4 Postdoctoral Researcher in Futures Studies, Faculty of Management, University of Tehran,Iran

Abstract
One of the issues that affect the lives of the elderly is exercise, which plays an important role in the physical and mental health of the elderly. The aim of this study is to analyze the key factors affecting the situation of senior sports in Iran for the next 20 years. This research is applied in terms of purpose, in terms of descriptive-analytical method of futures research. Theoretical data were prepared by documentary method and experimental data by survey-Delphi method. The statistical population is experts and specialists in the field of geriatric sports, 20 of whom have been selected by purposive sampling. Delphi methods, cross-sectional analysis and Mic Mac software were used to analyze the obtained information. The results of this study showed that the distribution of key variables affecting the future status of senior sports in Iran have an unstable system and among the 49 factors studied, 10 long-term planning factors in line with the changes and population pyramid, more attention to the position of the elderly, Elderly sports, development of senior sports culture, Iran's economic situation (sanctions), modeling of successful countries in the field of senior sports, support of public and private bodies, planning and providing human resources for senior sports, creating an organ for the elderly and developing the organization NGOs and social support networks have been selected as key factors influencing the state of senior sports in Iran for the next 20 years. Most of these key factors were in the group of independent and influential variables.

Keywords

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Sport Management Studies
Volume 12, Issue 64
January and February 2021
Pages 57-90

  • Receive Date 02 May 2020
  • Revise Date 18 September 2020
  • Accept Date 05 October 2020

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